Multiracial Population Predictions

Growing, Older, More Diverse Nation by 2060

Hispanic population expected to more than double during period

Article | December 20, 2012 | 

WASHINGTON — The U.S. population will be considerably older and more racially and ethnically diverse by 2060, according to projections released this week by the U.S. Census Bureau. The projections of population by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin, covering the 2012-2060 period, are the first set based on the 2010 Census.

“The next half century marks key points in continuing trends — the U.S. will become a plurality nation, where the non-Hispanic white population remains the largest single group, but no group is in the majority,” says Acting Director Thomas L. Mesenbourg.

Furthermore, the population is projected to grow much more slowly over the next several decades, compared with the last projections released in 2008 and 2009.

The population age 65 and older is expected to more than double by 2060, from 43.1 million to 92.0 million, and will represent just over one in five U.S. residents by the end of the period.
Baby boomers, defined as persons born between 1946 and 1964, number 76.4 million in 2012 and account for about one-quarter of the population. In 2060, when the youngest of them would be 96 years old, they are projected to number around 2.4 million and represent 0.6% of the total population.

The non-Hispanic white population is projected to peak in 2024, at 199.6 million, up from 197.8 million in 2012. Unlike other race or ethnic groups, however, its population is projected to slowly decrease, falling by nearly 20.6 million from 2024 to 2060.

Meanwhile, the Hispanic population would more than double, from 53.3 million in 2012 to 128.8 million in 2060. The black population is expected to increase from 41.2 million to 61.8 million over the same period. The Asian population is projected to more than double, from 15.9 million in 2012 to 34.4 million in 2060.

Among the remaining race groups, American Indians and Alaska Natives would increase by more than half from now to 2060, from 3.9 million to 6.3 million. The Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander population is expected to nearly double, from 706,000 to 1.4 million. The number of people who identify themselves as being of two or more races is projected to more than triple, from 7.5 million to 26.7 million over the same period.

All in all, minorities, now 37% of the U.S. population, are projected to comprise 57% of the population in 2060. (Minorities consist of all but the single-race, non-Hispanic white population.) The total minority population would more than double, from 116.2 million to 241.3 million over the period.

Projections show the older population would continue to be predominately non-Hispanic white, while younger ages are increasingly minority. Of those age 65 and older in 2060, 56.0% are expected to be non-Hispanic white, 21.2% Hispanic and 12.5% non-Hispanic black. In contrast, while 52.7% of those younger than 18 were non-Hispanic white in 2012, that number would drop to 32.9% by 2060. Hispanics are projected to make up 38.0% of this group in 2060, up from 23.9% in 2012.

To review the data yourself, visit the U.S. Census website.
Source: U.S. Census 

WE STILL CALL IT MULTIRACIAL

From Census Bureau Press Release:

Unless otherwise specified, the statistics refer to the population who reported a race alone.  Censuses and surveys permit respondents to select more than one race; consequently people may be one race or a combination of races. The detailed tables show statistics for the resident population by "race alone" and "race alone or in combination."

The federal government treats Hispanic origin and race as separate and distinct concepts. In surveys and censuses, separate questions are asked on Hispanic origin and race. The question on Hispanic origin asks respondents if they are of Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin. Starting with the 2000 Census, the question on race asked respondents to report the race or races they consider themselves to be. Hispanics may be of any race. Responses of "Some Other Race" from the 2010 Census were modified for these projections. This results in differences between the population for specific race categories in these projections versus those in the original 2010 Census data.

Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/12/12/5049574/us-census-bureau-projections-show.html#storylink=cpy

Census Bureau Loses Multiracial Population--Again!

Census Bureau Alert-Current Population Survey: 2011 — The tables include detailed statistics about five-year age groups by sex, the 55-and-older population, the Hispanic population, the black population and the Asian population. The tables provide a wide range of social, economic and housing characteristics, such as marital status, educational attainment, nativity, employment status, occupation, poverty and housing tenure. The Current Population Survey, which has been conducted since 1940, is sponsored jointly by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is the primary source of the nation's labor force statistics and provides understanding of labor market conditions.

Multiracial Category Gains Popularity

 Interesting story on www.bizjournals.com.

http://www.bizjournals.com/bizjournals/on-numbers/scott-thomas/2012/11/multiracial-category-gains-popularity.html

 

 

Project RACE commented on bizjournals.com.

The Census Bureau did not just decide to allow people to check more than one race. It took YEARS of advocacy to get them to recognize the multiracial population. Also, Hispanic is not a racial group, it is still an ethnic group. The Bureau will probably change Hispanic to a race for the 2020 Census. You may find our website www.projectrace.com and our <blog projectrace.blogspot.com> of interest.

Multiracial category gains popularity as racial distinctions melt - The Business Journals

www.bizjournals.com

The multiracial population of the nation's 979 major counties increased by 3.1 percent between July 1, 2010, and the same date in 2011, according to an On Numbers anal

Census Bureau Disregards Multiracial Population

Census Bureau Disregards Multiracial Population

Our US Census Bureau released its statistics for 2011 school enrollment today. They refuse to give us total numbers of multiracial students. They do have the races as “alone” or “in combination” with other races and Hispanic ethnicity. 

We should be given the total number of what they call “in combination” or “people who check more than one race.” They have the data, but they still want a kind of “one drop rule” for a major race IN COMBINATION with another race. We also do not know if they re-tabulate multiracial people into one category or more. They don’t understand that multiracial is an identity itself. Project RACE has put our request in writing to the Census Bureau and Office of Management and Budget (OMB). Some of those tables are below or you can go to the URL below for more data.

http://www.census.gov/hhes/school/data/cps/2011/tables.html

School Enrollment

CPS October 2011 - Detailed Tables

Table 1. Enrollment Status of the Population 3 Years Old and Over, by Sex, Age, Race, Hispanic Origin, Foreign Born, and Foreign-Born Parentage: October 2011

• All Races [XLS - 38k] [CSV - 6k]
• White alone [XLS - 39k] [CSV - 6k]
• White alone non-Hispanic [XLS - 45k] [CSV - 5k]
• Black alone [XLS - 32k] [CSV - 5k]
• Asian alone [XLS - 39k] [CSV - 5k]
• Hispanic [XLS - 32k] [CSV - 6k]
• White alone or in combination [XLS - 38k] [CSV - 6k]
• White alone or in combination non-Hispanic [XLS - 38k] [CSV - 6k]
• Black alone or in combination [XLS - 45k] [CSV - 6k]
• Asian alone or in combination [XLS - 33k] [CSV - 5k]
• Foreign Born [XLS - 39k] [CSV - 5k]
• Children of Foreign Born Parents [XLS - 38k] [CSV - 6k]

MULTIRACIAL Population Report

 2010 Census Shows Multiple-Race (Multiracial) Population

Grew Faster Than Single-Race Population

The 2010 Census showed that people who reported multiple races grew by a larger percentage than those reporting a single race. According to the 2010 Census brief The Two or More Races Population: 2010, the population reporting multiple races (9.0 million) grew by 32.0 percent from 2000 to 2010, compared with those who reported a single race, which grew by 9.2 percent.

Overall, the total U.S. population increased by 9.7 percent since 2000, however, many multiple-race groups increased by 50 percent or more.

The first time in U.S. history that people were presented with the option to self-identify with more than one race came on the 2000 Census questionnaire. Therefore, the examination of data from the 2000 and 2010 censuses provides the first comparisons on multiple-race combinations in the United States. An effective way to compare the multiple-race data is to examine changes in specific combinations, such as white and black, white and Asian, or black and Asian.

“These comparisons show substantial growth in the multiple-race population, providing detailed insights to how this population has grown and diversified over the past decade,” said Nicholas Jones, chief of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Racial Statistics Branch.

Changes in Race Combinations

--Four groups were the largest multiple-race combina­tions, each exceeding 1 million people in size, white and black (1.8 million), white and “some other race” (1.7 million), white and Asian (1.6 million) and white and American Indian and Alaska Native (1.4 million).

--Since 2000, two multiple-race groups exhibited the most significant changes — the white and black population, which grew more than 1 million and increased by 134 percent; and the white and Asian population, which grew by about 750,000 and increased by 87 percent.

Multiple-Race Populations by State

--There were 16 states where the people who reported more than one race exceeded 200,000 or more. The top three states (California, Texas and New York) each had a multiple-race population of half a million people or more.

--The percentage change in the multiple-race population was 70 percent or greater in nine states — South Carolina, North Carolina, Delaware, Georgia, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Mississippi and South Dakota. Each state, with the exception of South Dakota, was a southern state. The multiple-race population grew by 50 percent or more in 22 additional states.

Multiple-Race Populations by Place

--Among places with populations of 100,000 or more, Urban Honolulu CDP, Hawaii (a census designated place) was the place with the highest proportion of multiple-race whites, multiple-race Asians, and multiple-race Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. Lansing, Mich., was the place with the highest proportion of multiple-race blacks, and Anchorage, Alaska, was the place with the highest proportion of multiple-race American Indians and Alaska Natives.

Race Definitions
People who responded to the ques­tion on race by indicating only one race are referred to as the race-alone population, or the group who reported only one race. For exam­ple, people who marked only the “white” cat­egory on the census questionnaire constituted the white alone population. This population can be viewed as the minimum number of people reporting white.

The “two or more races” population refers to people who reported more than one of the six race categories, and this term is used in Census Bureau statistics as well as the tables and figures in the report. In the text of the report, we also refer to the “two or more races” population as the group that reported more than one race, or the multiple-race population. For example, people who reported they were both white and black or reported they were both black and Asian would be included in the multiple-race population. There are 57 possible mul­tiple-race combinations involving the five race categories and the category “some other race.” The report presents statistics for each of the 57 mul­tiple-race combinations.
Source: US Census Bureau

The American Community Survey

 The American Community Survey

Did you know that the American Community Survey(ACS)  goes to 3.5 MILLION addresses per year? Think of it as an annual census between each 10-year census. The population areas have 65,000 people. About 7000 geographic areas are covered. If you have never been sent an ACS, you may be interested in looking at the questions at
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/questionnaires/2012/Quest12.pdf

The M Word and Multiracial Advocacy

The M Word and Multiracial Advocacy

Many changes happen all around us all through our lifetimes, so why doesn’t the government think sticks and stones will break our bones, but words will never hurt us? Multiracial, mixed, multiracial, half-breed, multiracial, multiethnic, mixie, multicultural, other, multiracial, multiracial, multiracial! So many words to choose from, but which is the right one?

The worlds of psychiatry and psychology are not ones I know much about, but I am going to try to explain why words are always important. Try to stick with me.

President Barack Obama signed “Rosa’s Law,” which mandates that the term “mental retardation” be replaced by “intellectual disability” in federal education, health, and labor laws.

Now the American Psychiatric Association is considering making the same change. The International Classification of Diseases, which is published by the World Health Organization, has already made the change.

So what does this have to do with the multiracial population? Plenty. We’re talking about nine million people and what they are called. Does this sound familiar? The government calls the multiracial community “people who check more than one race,” “the combination population” and more silly terms. Some people refer to themselves or other multiracial people as “mixies, half-breeds, mutts, etc.”

This is what Rosa’s 14-year-old brother said in state testimony about the term “mental retardation” and why it needed to be changed:

“What you call people is how you treat them. What you call my sister is how you will treat her. If you believe she’s ‘retarded’, it invites taunting, stigma. It invites bullying and it also invites the slammed doors of being treated with respect and dignity.”

What Rosa advocated for was a more positive change in wording. It has to do with what society labels a person. It has to do with respectful terminology. This seems to be an ongoing debate because of many other factors in the psychiatric community, but they are headed in the right direction. The term “multiracial” is also a respectful term. Advocate for “multiracial.” You and our kids deserve that same respect.

Susan Graham

Project RACE